── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
53%47%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 29% / 71%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
36th · below avg
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
61th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#97
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ESP
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliPablo Llamas Ruiz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-20UmagClayQFCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 5-2 RET
2021-09-06Seville CHClayR32Pablo Llamas Ruiz7-5 4-1 RET