── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Luca Nardi
66%34%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 43% / 57%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Luca Nardi
45th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#144
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliLuca Nardi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-13Turin CHClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-2 6-4