── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
53%47%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 10% / 90%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
94th · elite
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#98
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
185cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR128Camilo Ugo Carabelli2-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2022-10-24Lima CHClayR16Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard7-5 7-5