── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Francesco Passaro
61%39%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Francesco Passaro
56th · average
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Francesco Passaro
16th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#82
model rank
#125
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Francesco Passaro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-20 | Umag | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 |
| 2022-07-25 | San Benedetto Del Tronto CH | Clay | R32 | Francesco Passaro | 6-3 2-6 6-4 |