── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roman Andres Burruchaga a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Roman Andres Burruchaga
49%51%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#76
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliRoman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay33
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroClayR32Roman Andres Burruchaga6-3 6-4
2026-02-02Rosario CHClayFCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-2 6-3
2025-01-27Piracicaba CHClayQFRoman Andres Burruchaga7-5 4-5 RET
2023-10-30Guayaquil CHClayQFRoman Andres Burruchaga6-4 5-7 6-1
2023-09-18Antofagasta CHClaySFCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 6-4
2020-02-24M25 Rio CuartoClayQFCamilo Ugo Carabelli7-6(3) 6-4