── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Luciano Darderi
35%65%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 22% / 78%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliLuciano Darderi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay35
── 8 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-20UmagClaySFLuciano Darderi7-6(6) 6-3
2024-05-13Turin CHClayR32Luciano Darderi6-4 6-3
2024-04-29Cagliari CHClayR16Luciano Darderi6-3 6-0
2023-11-06Lima CHClayR16Luciano Darderi6-4 6-2
2023-10-30Guayaquil CHClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli4-6 7-6(5) 6-2
2022-10-10Rio De Janeiro CHClayR32Luciano Darderi4-6 6-1 6-1
2021-11-08Montevideo CHClayR32Camilo Ugo Carabelli3-6 6-3 6-4
2021-03-29M15 Villa MariaClayR32Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-2 6-4