── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luca Van Assche 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Luca Van Assche
35%65%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Luca Van Assche
17th · poor
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Luca Van Assche
86th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#68
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Luca Van Assche
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30MarrakechClayQFCamilo Ugo Carabelli0-6 6-3 6-2