── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Luca Van Assche
59%41%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Luca Van Assche
15th · poor
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Luca Van Assche
79th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#82
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Luca Van Assche
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Marrakech | Clay | QF | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0-6 6-3 6-2 |