── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ignacio Buse 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ignacio Buse
36%64%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#40
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
PER
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliIgnacio Buse
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30MarrakechClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 3-6 7-5
2024-03-11Santiago CHClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli7-6(9) 6-4