── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ignacio Buse 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ignacio Buse
31%69%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Ignacio Buse
38th · below avg
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#58
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
PER
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Ignacio Buse
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30MarrakechClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 3-6 7-5
2024-03-11Santiago CHClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli7-6(9) 6-4