── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Miomir Kecmanovic
Tommy Paul
31%69%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 18% / 82%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Miomir Kecmanovic
66th · average
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Return
Miomir Kecmanovic
84th · strong
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#50
model rank
#14
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
SRB
country
USA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Miomir Kecmanovic■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–2
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | R16 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 5-7 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-10-14 | Stockholm | Hard | QF | Tommy Paul | 7-6(9) 6-2 |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 6-4 3-6 2-6 7-6(7) 6-0 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 7-5 7-6(2) |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 7-6(7) 7-5 7-6(8) |
| 2020-02-10 | New York | Hard | R32 | Miomir Kecmanovic | 6-4 6-2 |