── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alexander Zverev
19%81%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#4
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
GER
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard14
Clay02
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR16Alexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev2-6 7-6(3) 7-6(0)
2023-09-27BeijingHardR16Alexander Zverev6-7(4) 6-2 6-1
2023-08-07Canada MastersHardR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-2
2021-05-31Roland GarrosClayQFAlexander Zverev6-4 6-1 6-1
2020-10-12Cologne 1HardSFAlexander Zverev7-5 7-6(3)
2020-08-31Us OpenHardR16Alexander Zverev6-2 6-2 6-1