── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Zverev 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alexander Zverev
22%78%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Alexander Zverev
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#3
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
GER
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Alexander Zverev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–4
Clay0–2
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexander Zverev | 2-6 7-6(3) 7-6(0) |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(4) 6-2 6-1 |
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-1 6-1 |
| 2020-10-12 | Cologne 1 | Hard | SF | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 7-6(3) |
| 2020-08-31 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-2 6-1 |