── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Gael Monfils
72%28%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Gael Monfils
62th · average
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Gael Monfils
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#73
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Gael Monfils
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-18HamburgClayR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 6-3
2019-04-29EstorilClayQFAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-7(2) 7-5 6-4