── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Gael Monfils
65%35%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Gael Monfils
60th · average
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Gael Monfils
73th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#73
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaGael Monfils
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-18HamburgClayR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 6-3
2019-04-29EstorilClayQFAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-7(2) 7-5 6-4