── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Marco Trungelliti
79%21%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
78th · strong
Marco Trungelliti
19th · poor
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · strong
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#22
model rank
#117
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Marco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–2
Hard0–1
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-15UmagClayR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-5
2021-08-30Us OpenHardR128Marco Trungelliti5-7 6-3 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4
2018-09-17Biella CHClayR32Marco Trungelliti4-6 6-3 6-4
2018-03-26Marbella CHClayR16Marco Trungelliti6-3 6-3