── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Grigor Dimitrov
65%35%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
86th · strong
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#52
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
BUL
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Mallorca | Grass | QF | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2022-04-11 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | SF | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 6-7(2) 6-3 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 7-6(2) |