── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
James Duckworth
74%26%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 60% / 40%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#117
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaJames Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard02
Grass10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-14Los CabosHardR16James Duckworth6-3 6-4
2025-06-23EastbourneGrassR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-7(3) 6-3 6-4
2019-02-18Bangkok CHHardFJames Duckworth6-4 6-3