── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Nikoloz Basilashvili
81%19%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 76% / 24%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
78th · strong
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · strong
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#22
model rank
#135
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
GEO
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Nikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-28ChengduHardSFAlejandro Davidovich Fokina4-6 6-4 6-3
2021-09-20MetzHardR16Nikoloz Basilashvili0-6 6-4 7-6(4)