── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Damir Dzumhur
77%23%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Damir Dzumhur
5th · poor
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Damir Dzumhur
69th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#134
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
BIH
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDamir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
Hard10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-7(3) 6-3 2-6 7-5 6-3
2021-04-05MarbellaClayR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-7(1) 6-2 6-2
2020-10-19Cologne 2HardR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 6-3