── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Cameron Norrie
62%38%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Cameron Norrie
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
GBR
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-16Queen's ClubGrassR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(6) 6-2
2021-05-10Rome MastersClayR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 6-3
2020-08-31Us OpenHardR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(2) 4-6 6-2 6-1