── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Reilly Opelka
76%24%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#100
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-3 7-6(3) 5-7 4-6 6-4 |
| 2024-07-22 | Atlanta | Hard | R16 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-5 7-5 |