── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hubert Hurkacz
52%48%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 43% / 57%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
78th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
55th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#22
model rank
#23
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
POL
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard4–1
Grass1–0
Clay0–1
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-29ChengduHardFAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-6(7)
2024-01-01United CupHardRRAlejandro Davidovich Fokina3-6 6-3 6-4
2022-06-27WimbledonGrassR128Alejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(4) 6-4 5-7 2-6 7-6(8)
2022-05-02Madrid MastersClayR32Hubert Hurkacz6-4 4-6 7-6(5)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardR64Hubert Hurkacz6-1 6-7(3) 6-1
2021-02-22MontpellierHardR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina7-5 6-2
2020-08-31Us OpenHardR64Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 1-6 6-2 6-2