── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Lorenzo Sonego
68%32%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#33
model rank
#87
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2019-09-02 | Genova CH | Clay | F | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-2 4-6 7-6(6) |