── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Corentin Moutet
61%39%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay30
Hard10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-17HamburgClayR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-3
2021-05-10Rome MastersClayQ2Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-6(5)
2020-09-14Rome MastersClayQ3Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-2