── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Corentin Moutet
76%24%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
78th · strong
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · strong
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#22
model rank
#101
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Clay3–0
Hard1–0
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-18Queen's ClubGrassR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-3
2026-05-17HamburgClayR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-3
2021-05-10Rome MastersClayQ2Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-6(5)
2020-09-14Rome MastersClayQ3Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-2