── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Felix Auger Aliassime
44%56%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
CAN
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–2
Clay0–2
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-7(4) 7-6(6) 6-3 6-7(2) 6-1 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-7(7) 6-7(5) 6-4 6-1 6-3 |
| 2023-02-20 | Doha | Hard | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(4) 6-7(4) 7-6(5) 7-6(4) |
| 2018-04-02 | Alicante CH | Clay | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-5 7-5 |