── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ugo Humbert
53%47%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 43% / 57%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Ugo Humbert
63th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#39
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
FRA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaUgo Humbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard22
Clay10
Carpet01
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardSFUgo Humbert6-3 5-7 7-6(4)
2025-10-20BaselHardSFAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(4) 3-1 RET
2024-02-05MarseilleHardQFUgo Humbert6-1 6-4
2023-02-06MontpellierHardR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1-6 7-6(2) 0-0 RET
2021-04-26EstorilClayQFAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4
2018-02-12Switzerland F2CarpetR16Ugo Humbert7-6(7) 6-0