── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
66%34%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#82
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaCamilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-25BeijingHardR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-3