── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Valentin Vacherot
58%42%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 94% / 6%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#32
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
MON
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardQFAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(4) 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosClayR128Alejandro Davidovich Fokina4-6 6-2 6-2 7-6(2)