── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Brandon Holt
84%16%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 63% / 37%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Brandon Holt
8th · poor
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Brandon Holt
24th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#159
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaBrandon Holt
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 6-4 7-5
2025-02-03DallasHardR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 7-5