── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Thiago Agustin Tirante
59%41%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#53
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaThiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Thiago Agustin Tirante4-6 7-6(4) 6-1 6-3
2024-10-14StockholmHardR32Alejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(2) 6-2