── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Brandon Nakashima
54%46%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#33
model rank
#42
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2023-01-09 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-2 7-6(3) |