── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Brandon Nakashima
49%51%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#17
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2023-01-09 | Adelaide 2 | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-2 7-6(3) |