── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alexander Shevchenko
75%25%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#124
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
KAZ
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-1 6-2