── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Jack Draper
45%55%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#33
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
GBR
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-3 6-7(6) 6-4 |