── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Jack Draper
59%41%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#34
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
GBR
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-3 6-7(6) 6-4 |