── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Rinky Hijikata
75%25%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Rinky Hijikata
19th · poor
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Rinky Hijikata
51th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#95
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Rinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 6-2
2024-08-26Us OpenHardR128Rinky Hijikata7-6(1) 3-6 6-4 6-3