── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Rinky Hijikata
73%27%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 48% / 52%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Rinky Hijikata
12th · poor
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Rinky Hijikata
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#112
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaRinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 6-2
2024-08-26Us OpenHardR128Rinky Hijikata7-6(1) 3-6 6-4 6-3