── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mattia Bellucci
75%25%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#33
model rank
#123
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
ITA
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Mattia Bellucci | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1-6 7-6(6) 6-2 |