── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Valentin Royer
78%22%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 76% / 24%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
78th · strong
Valentin Royer
32th · below avg
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · strong
Valentin Royer
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#22
model rank
#114
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Alejandro Davidovich Fokina4-6 6-1 6-4