── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Valentin Royer
74%26%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Valentin Royer
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaValentin Royer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Alejandro Davidovich Fokina4-6 6-1 6-4