── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ben Shelton
42%58%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#18
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaBen Shelton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-21WashingtonHardSFAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 7-5
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-7(2) 6-2 6-1
2023-10-30Paris MastersHardR64Alejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(4) 5-7 6-3