── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alex Michelsen
53%47%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4