── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alex Michelsen
57%43%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 43% / 57%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#47
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 6-4