── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Learner Tien
50%50%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite
Learner Tien
95th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#21
model rank
#22
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
USA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR16Learner Tien4-6 6-1 7-6(4)
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 6-2