── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Zizou Bergs
Sebastian Korda
26%74%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Zizou Bergs
39th · below avg
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Return
Zizou Bergs
68th · average
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#74
model rank
#16
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
USA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Zizou BergsSebastian Korda
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR128Zizou Bergs6-4 7-5