── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Zizou Bergs
Alex Michelsen
42%58%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Zizou Bergs
39th · below avg
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Zizou Bergs
68th · average
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#74
model rank
#47
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
USA
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Zizou BergsAlex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Zizou Bergs6-3 2-6 6-2
2024-08-19Winston-SalemHardR16Alex Michelsen6-1 6-2
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardQ1Alex Michelsen6-3 4-6 6-4