── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Martin Damm
79%21%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#88
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Martin Damm
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | 's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(8) 7-5 |