── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Stan Wawrinka
85%15%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#116
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
SUI
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-0 |