── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
Not enough rating data for a read.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Rafael Nadalinsufficient data
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Rafael Nadalinsufficient data
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
—
Hard
best surface
—
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
ESP
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Rafael Nadal
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard1–2
Grass0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Rafael Nadal | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2024-04-15 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 6-1 7-5 |
| 2020-01-06 | Atp Cup | Hard | SF | Rafael Nadal | 4-6 7-5 6-1 |
| 2019-01-14 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Rafael Nadal | 6-1 6-2 6-4 |
| 2018-07-02 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Rafael Nadal | 6-1 6-2 6-4 |