── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
David Goffin
89%11%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
David Goffin
8th · poor
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
David Goffin
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#152
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
BEL
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ David Goffin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard7–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2025-02-03 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2024-02-12 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2022-09-13 | Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs BEL | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-02-07 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-0 6-3 |
| 2021-01-05 | Antalya | Hard | SF | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2019-11-20 | Davis Cup Finals RR: BEL vs AUS | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-0 7-6(4) |