── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
James Duckworth
83%17%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
James Duckworth
59th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#109
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ James Duckworth
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-2 7-6(6) |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(1) 7-6(3) 7-6(4) |
| 2022-07-25 | Atlanta | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |