── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Christopher Oconnell
88%12%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#142
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | W/O |