── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Kamil Majchrzak
79%21%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Kamil Majchrzak
49th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Kamil Majchrzak
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#72
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
POL
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Kamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 6-2 |