── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Kamil Majchrzak
74%26%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
POL
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Kamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Grass0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Davis Cup WG1 R1: AUS vs POL | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2026-06-14 | 's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | F | Kamil Majchrzak | 6-3 2-6 7-6(5) |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 6-2 |