── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Botic Van De Zandschulp
70%30%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
46th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#48
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
NED
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Botic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-4 7-5 6-2 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | QF | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 7-6(4) 7-5 |
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Alex De Minaur | 6-1 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022-11-22 | Davis Cup Finals QF: AUS vs NED | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 5-7 6-3 6-4 |