── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Sebastian Ofner
86%14%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#136
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUT
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Sebastian Ofner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2024-02-26 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 6-1 6-3 |