── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Benjamin Bonzi
77%23%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Benjamin Bonzi
52th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Benjamin Bonzi
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#74
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Benjamin Bonzi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard3–2
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | 's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | QF | Alex De Minaur | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-02-20 | Marseille | Hard | QF | Benjamin Bonzi | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(0) 6-2 6-1 |
| 2022-10-17 | Stockholm | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2022-09-15 | Davis Cup Finals RR: FRA vs AUS | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 1-6 6-4 |
| 2016-08-08 | Spain F25 | Hard | QF | Benjamin Bonzi | 6-3 7-5 |