── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Arthur Rinderknech
74%26%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#49
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 3-6 7-6(2) |