── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Stefanos Tsitsipas
62%38%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
GRE
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–10
Clay0–4
Grass1–0
── 17 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-02-26 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Alex De Minaur | 1-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2023-07-31 | Los Cabos | Hard | F | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | QF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-03-21 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-02-07 | Rotterdam | Hard | QF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-10-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-7(3) 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2021-04-19 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2021-02-02 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2019-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-11-05 | NextGen Finals | Hard | F | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2-4 4-1 4-3(3) 4-3(3) |
| 2018-10-01 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 5-7 6-1 |
| 2017-08-07 | Portoroz CH | Hard | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2017-06-05 | Surbiton CH | Grass | Q1 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2017-05-01 | Istanbul | Clay | Q1 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-2 |